Oil Settles Higher Amid Cooling US Inflation

|Bitumen Africa|

Thursday,  June 13, 2024, 15:00

 

Oil rose as risk-on sentiment spurred by cooling US inflation overshadowed an unexpected increase in the country's crude stockpiles.

West Texas Intermediate advanced 0.8% close above $78a barrel after US consumer price came in cooler than anticipated. Still, a later report showing rising US crude and gasoline inventories knocked crude off it's highs for the day and even briefly sent oil into negative territory.

The consumer price data sparked a risk-on mood in broader markets, which took it as a sigh of the early stages of inflation resuming a downward trend.

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to hold interest rates steady, and penciled in one rate cut for later in 2024 and four for 2025.

Oil has rebounded from last week's post-OPEC+ sell-off, a sigh that the biggest pullback in speculative bullish bets on record may be at least partially reversing. Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

said earlier this week that financial demand for oil contracts still had a lot of room to recover.

Oil traders  have been wrestling with bumpy price moves recently as a weak market for real-world barrels vies with hopes that consumption will improve over the summer.

The US on Tuesday forecast it's production in 2024 will increase more than previously estimated to a fresh record, while the international Energy Agency is warning of a lasting oil surplus for the of this decade.

"This week's big recovery has weakened the bears hold on the market, although more price action is needed to confirm a bottom", said Fawad Razaqzada, a market analyst at City Inedx and Forex.com.

"But it's possible we could see crude oil prices come under pressure again after the recent recovery. The lower highs suggest the short-term path of least resistance is still downward, until told otherwise by the charts".

Price:

  • WTI for July delivery rose 0.8% to settle at $78.50 barrel in New York.
  • Brent for August settlement was 0.8% higher at $82.60 a barrel.
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